World Conflicts
promptmason.org

Venezuela political crisis

Active Low intensity Internationalized intrastate Americas 12 Feb 2014 to present

After U.S. forces seized President Nicolas Maduro in a January 2026 raid, acting President Delcy Rodriguez leads the government and has restored cooperation with Washington. She has promised elections without a date, while opposition leader Maria Corina Machado remains unable to return. There is little ongoing fighting; this is mainly a political and humanitarian crisis.

Conflict zones

Click a shape for details and sources

Zones, lines of contact and strike arcs are approximate and illustrative, drawn from public reporting. They are not authoritative; click a shape for its sources. Borders from Natural Earth, with Crimea shown as part of Ukraine in line with UN General Assembly resolution 68/262.

Key facts

Venezuelans in 17 Latin American/Caribbean host countries
6,978,009
R4V as of 20 Aug 2026
Date of Maduro's capture
3 Jan 2026
CNBC as of 7 Jan 2026
Cuban personnel killed in the raid
32 (per Cuba)
Al Jazeera as of 17 Jan 2026
Reported fatalities, last 4 weeks (ACLED)
17
ACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026
Deaths in 2026, 5 Jan to 24 Sep 2026 (UCDP)
144 best estimate (144–144)
UCDP GED Candidate 26.0.9 as of 24 Sep 2026

Human cost

Fatalities
75–100range across 2 sources
Killed in 2026 so far (UCDP)
144
People displaced
7.9M
  • 7,900,000 reportedR4V Inter-Agency Platform as of 20 Aug 2026Venezuelan refugees and migrants worldwide ('nearly 7.9 million'), government data
All forcibly displaced, country-wide (UNHCR)
7.6M
Recorded events, last 30 days
20

Parties and actors

  • Government of acting President Delcy Rodriguez Government
  • Democratic opposition (Maria Corina Machado and allies) Political opposition
  • United States Foreign state (conducted Jan 2026 raid)

Parties are listed factually by name and role. Inclusion does not imply any judgement.

Negotiations

Negotiations hub
Government-opposition talks on elections Active talks
Parties
Rodriguez government, Venezuelan opposition groups
Mediators
None reported
Last development
24 Sep 2026

Rodriguez told the UN General Assembly her government is talking with opposition groups about conditions for elections but set no date; opposition demands independent courts and electoral authority first.

MercoPress as of 24 Sep 2026

Trend: events and reported fatalities by month

Events per month Reported fatalities per month
0 0 50 50 100 100 150 150 200 200Nov 2021: 69 events, 92 reported fatalitiesDec 2021: 81 events, 87 reported fatalitiesJan 2022: 141 events, 196 reported fatalities2022Feb 2022: 78 events, 109 reported fatalitiesMar 2022: 90 events, 106 reported fatalitiesApr 2022: 84 events, 99 reported fatalitiesMay 2022: 51 events, 51 reported fatalitiesJun 2022: 35 events, 44 reported fatalitiesJul 2022: 71 events, 86 reported fatalitiesAug 2022: 42 events, 56 reported fatalitiesSep 2022: 78 events, 125 reported fatalitiesOct 2022: 57 events, 60 reported fatalitiesNov 2022: 49 events, 56 reported fatalitiesDec 2022: 60 events, 65 reported fatalitiesJan 2023: 53 events, 60 reported fatalities2023Feb 2023: 60 events, 88 reported fatalitiesMar 2023: 54 events, 86 reported fatalitiesApr 2023: 63 events, 79 reported fatalitiesMay 2023: 41 events, 43 reported fatalitiesJun 2023: 43 events, 47 reported fatalitiesJul 2023: 62 events, 71 reported fatalitiesAug 2023: 49 events, 53 reported fatalitiesSep 2023: 53 events, 63 reported fatalitiesOct 2023: 41 events, 46 reported fatalitiesNov 2023: 38 events, 46 reported fatalitiesDec 2023: 40 events, 56 reported fatalitiesJan 2024: 46 events, 55 reported fatalities2024Feb 2024: 50 events, 55 reported fatalitiesMar 2024: 48 events, 47 reported fatalitiesApr 2024: 29 events, 34 reported fatalitiesMay 2024: 39 events, 44 reported fatalitiesJun 2024: 25 events, 30 reported fatalitiesJul 2024: 41 events, 33 reported fatalitiesAug 2024: 56 events, 70 reported fatalitiesSep 2024: 40 events, 50 reported fatalitiesOct 2024: 29 events, 28 reported fatalitiesNov 2024: 36 events, 35 reported fatalitiesDec 2024: 34 events, 34 reported fatalitiesJan 2025: 29 events, 36 reported fatalities2025Feb 2025: 38 events, 55 reported fatalitiesMar 2025: 37 events, 54 reported fatalitiesApr 2025: 16 events, 21 reported fatalitiesMay 2025: 27 events, 30 reported fatalitiesJun 2025: 32 events, 42 reported fatalitiesJul 2025: 21 events, 22 reported fatalitiesAug 2025: 27 events, 36 reported fatalitiesSep 2025: 17 events, 17 reported fatalitiesOct 2025: 26 events, 27 reported fatalitiesNov 2025: 30 events, 33 reported fatalitiesDec 2025: 13 events, 21 reported fatalitiesJan 2026: 34 events, 104 reported fatalities2026Feb 2026: 31 events, 34 reported fatalitiesMar 2026: 28 events, 30 reported fatalitiesApr 2026: 28 events, 44 reported fatalitiesMay 2026: 42 events, 48 reported fatalitiesJun 2026: 16 events, 16 reported fatalitiesJul 2026: 22 events, 26 reported fatalitiesAug 2026: 33 events, 28 reported fatalitiesSep 2026: 20 events, 26 reported fatalitiesOct 2026: 20 events, 17 reported fatalities
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026 Political violence events only (battles, explosions/remote violence, violence against civilians).
Show data table
MonthEventsFatalities
Oct 20262017
Sep 20262026
Aug 20263328
Jul 20262226
Jun 20261616
May 20264248
Apr 20262844
Mar 20262830
Feb 20263134
Jan 202634104
Dec 20251321
Nov 20253033
Oct 20252627
Sep 20251717
Aug 20252736
Jul 20252122
Jun 20253242
May 20252730
Apr 20251621
Mar 20253754
Feb 20253855
Jan 20252936
Dec 20243434
Nov 20243635
Oct 20242928
Sep 20244050
Aug 20245670
Jul 20244133
Jun 20242530
May 20243944
Apr 20242934
Mar 20244847
Feb 20245055
Jan 20244655
Dec 20234056
Nov 20233846
Oct 20234146
Sep 20235363
Aug 20234953
Jul 20236271
Jun 20234347
May 20234143
Apr 20236379
Mar 20235486
Feb 20236088
Jan 20235360
Dec 20226065
Nov 20224956
Oct 20225760
Sep 202278125
Aug 20224256
Jul 20227186
Jun 20223544
May 20225151
Apr 20228499
Mar 202290106
Feb 202278109
Jan 2022141196
Dec 20218187
Nov 20216992

Events by type

Battles Explosions / remote violence Violence against civilians
0 50 100 150 200 20222023202420252026
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026

Most affected provinces

  1. Zulia 59 events · 56 fatalities
  2. Carabobo 51 events · 48 fatalities
  3. Miranda 33 events · 37 fatalities
  4. Aragua 29 events · 44 fatalities
  5. Guarico 24 events · 59 fatalities
  6. Distrito Capital 22 events · 88 fatalities
  7. Falcon 21 events · 27 fatalities
  8. Bolivar 19 events · 10 fatalities
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026 Last 12 months, political violence events.

Sources and further reading

An unhandled error has occurred. Reload 🗙

Rejoining the server...

Rejoin failed... trying again in seconds.

Failed to rejoin.
Please retry or reload the page.

The session has been paused by the server.

Failed to resume the session.
Please retry or reload the page.