World Conflicts
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Myanmar civil war

Active High intensity Intrastate Asia 1 Feb 2021 to present

Armed resistance groups and ethnic armies have fought the military since its February 2021 coup. After phased elections in Dec 2025-Jan 2026, coup leader Min Aung Hlaing became president in April 2026. Fighting and air strikes continue across much of the country, and the military holds only a minority of territory.

Conflict zones

Click a shape for details and sources

Zones, lines of contact and strike arcs are approximate and illustrative, drawn from public reporting. They are not authoritative; click a shape for its sources. Borders from Natural Earth, with Crimea shown as part of Ukraine in line with UN General Assembly resolution 68/262.

Key facts

Refugees and asylum seekers from Myanmar
1,633,600
UNHCR Operational Data Portal as of 31 Aug 2026
Territory held by military
About 21% (resistance and ethnic armies about 42%)
CFR Global Conflict Tracker as of 29 Sep 2026
Killed by military and allied groups (AAPP count)
8,442
Assistance Association for Political Prisoners (Burma) as of 29 Sep 2026
Rakhine townships held by Arakan Army
14 of 17
Al Jazeera as of 28 Sep 2026
Political prisoners still detained
Over 22,000
France 24 / AFP as of 10 Apr 2026
Reported fatalities, last 4 weeks (ACLED)
703
ACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026
Deaths in 2026, 29 Dec to 30 Sep 2026 (UCDP)
1,377 best estimate (1,373–1,717)
UCDP GED Candidate 26.0.9 as of 30 Sep 2026

Human cost

Fatalities
100Krange across 2 sources
  • 100,000 estimatedCFR Global Conflict Tracker as of 29 Sep 2026All sides since the 2021 coup; CFR says 'over 100,000'
  • 100,114 reportedACLED via France 24 as of 1 Jul 2026All sides, all conflict-related deaths since the 1 Feb 2021 coup; based on media reports
Killed in 2026 so far (UCDP)
1.4K
  • 1,377 estimatedUCDP GED Candidate 26.0.9 as of 30 Sep 2026UCDP best estimate, events 29 Dec to 30 Sep 2026; low 1,373, high 1,717
People displaced
4M–5.2Mrange across 2 sources
All forcibly displaced, country-wide (UNHCR)
5.2M
Recorded events, last 30 days
579

Parties and actors

  • Myanmar Armed Forces (Tatmadaw) State armed forces · aligned with Military government
  • People's Defence Forces (linked to the National Unity Government) Non-state armed group · aligned with Resistance
  • Arakan Army Ethnic armed organization · aligned with Resistance
  • Kachin Independence Army Ethnic armed organization · aligned with Resistance
  • Ta'ang National Liberation Army Ethnic armed organization · aligned with Resistance (under ceasefire arrangement)

Parties are listed factually by name and role. Inclusion does not imply any judgement.

Negotiations

Negotiations hub
Government peace talks with ethnic armed organizations Active talks
Parties
Myanmar government (NSPNC), 13 ethnic armed organizations
Mediators
None reported
Last development
2 Aug 2026

The government's peace committee says it met 13 ethnic armed groups within 100 days of the new government taking office. Most participants are not currently fighting the military; the main armed resistance groups are largely absent.

Moemaka as of 2 Aug 2026

Trend: events and reported fatalities by month

Events per month Reported fatalities per month
0 0 500 1.3K 1K 2.5K 1.5K 3.8K 2K 5KNov 2021: 887 events, 1,788 reported fatalitiesDec 2021: 892 events, 2,022 reported fatalitiesJan 2022: 1,256 events, 2,297 reported fatalities2022Feb 2022: 776 events, 1,727 reported fatalitiesMar 2022: 828 events, 1,847 reported fatalitiesApr 2022: 1,185 events, 2,740 reported fatalitiesMay 2022: 843 events, 2,111 reported fatalitiesJun 2022: 877 events, 1,962 reported fatalitiesJul 2022: 1,109 events, 2,507 reported fatalitiesAug 2022: 908 events, 2,014 reported fatalitiesSep 2022: 1,004 events, 1,643 reported fatalitiesOct 2022: 1,193 events, 1,995 reported fatalitiesNov 2022: 994 events, 1,840 reported fatalitiesDec 2022: 964 events, 1,665 reported fatalitiesJan 2023: 919 events, 1,627 reported fatalities2023Feb 2023: 928 events, 1,703 reported fatalitiesMar 2023: 949 events, 1,978 reported fatalitiesApr 2023: 1,033 events, 2,150 reported fatalitiesMay 2023: 936 events, 1,737 reported fatalitiesJun 2023: 912 events, 1,629 reported fatalitiesJul 2023: 1,317 events, 2,102 reported fatalitiesAug 2023: 1,066 events, 1,602 reported fatalitiesSep 2023: 1,271 events, 1,687 reported fatalitiesOct 2023: 1,100 events, 1,658 reported fatalitiesNov 2023: 1,364 events, 2,402 reported fatalitiesDec 2023: 1,646 events, 1,777 reported fatalitiesJan 2024: 1,195 events, 1,766 reported fatalities2024Feb 2024: 1,042 events, 1,533 reported fatalitiesMar 2024: 1,525 events, 2,395 reported fatalitiesApr 2024: 1,054 events, 1,632 reported fatalitiesMay 2024: 973 events, 1,488 reported fatalitiesJun 2024: 1,217 events, 2,166 reported fatalitiesJul 2024: 1,046 events, 2,064 reported fatalitiesAug 2024: 1,242 events, 2,741 reported fatalitiesSep 2024: 794 events, 1,073 reported fatalitiesOct 2024: 959 events, 981 reported fatalitiesNov 2024: 1,307 events, 1,654 reported fatalitiesDec 2024: 897 events, 1,040 reported fatalitiesJan 2025: 918 events, 1,433 reported fatalities2025Feb 2025: 1,026 events, 1,307 reported fatalitiesMar 2025: 1,134 events, 1,371 reported fatalitiesApr 2025: 902 events, 930 reported fatalitiesMay 2025: 1,091 events, 1,403 reported fatalitiesJun 2025: 952 events, 1,220 reported fatalitiesJul 2025: 828 events, 1,165 reported fatalitiesAug 2025: 1,188 events, 1,902 reported fatalitiesSep 2025: 831 events, 1,197 reported fatalitiesOct 2025: 878 events, 1,086 reported fatalitiesNov 2025: 924 events, 1,362 reported fatalitiesDec 2025: 823 events, 1,426 reported fatalitiesJan 2026: 1,153 events, 1,475 reported fatalities2026Feb 2026: 833 events, 975 reported fatalitiesMar 2026: 847 events, 1,248 reported fatalitiesApr 2026: 768 events, 757 reported fatalitiesMay 2026: 1,000 events, 1,423 reported fatalitiesJun 2026: 748 events, 709 reported fatalitiesJul 2026: 718 events, 556 reported fatalitiesAug 2026: 831 events, 888 reported fatalitiesSep 2026: 636 events, 702 reported fatalitiesOct 2026: 579 events, 703 reported fatalities
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026 Political violence events only (battles, explosions/remote violence, violence against civilians).
Show data table
MonthEventsFatalities
Oct 2026579703
Sep 2026636702
Aug 2026831888
Jul 2026718556
Jun 2026748709
May 20261,0001,423
Apr 2026768757
Mar 20268471,248
Feb 2026833975
Jan 20261,1531,475
Dec 20258231,426
Nov 20259241,362
Oct 20258781,086
Sep 20258311,197
Aug 20251,1881,902
Jul 20258281,165
Jun 20259521,220
May 20251,0911,403
Apr 2025902930
Mar 20251,1341,371
Feb 20251,0261,307
Jan 20259181,433
Dec 20248971,040
Nov 20241,3071,654
Oct 2024959981
Sep 20247941,073
Aug 20241,2422,741
Jul 20241,0462,064
Jun 20241,2172,166
May 20249731,488
Apr 20241,0541,632
Mar 20241,5252,395
Feb 20241,0421,533
Jan 20241,1951,766
Dec 20231,6461,777
Nov 20231,3642,402
Oct 20231,1001,658
Sep 20231,2711,687
Aug 20231,0661,602
Jul 20231,3172,102
Jun 20239121,629
May 20239361,737
Apr 20231,0332,150
Mar 20239491,978
Feb 20239281,703
Jan 20239191,627
Dec 20229641,665
Nov 20229941,840
Oct 20221,1931,995
Sep 20221,0041,643
Aug 20229082,014
Jul 20221,1092,507
Jun 20228771,962
May 20228432,111
Apr 20221,1852,740
Mar 20228281,847
Feb 20227761,727
Jan 20221,2562,297
Dec 20218922,022
Nov 20218871,788

Events by type

Battles Explosions / remote violence Violence against civilians
0 500 1K 1.5K 2K 20222023202420252026
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026

Most affected provinces

  1. Sagaing 1,734 events · 2,201 fatalities
  2. Magway 1,448 events · 2,210 fatalities
  3. Rakhine 970 events · 1,008 fatalities
  4. Mandalay 829 events · 1,327 fatalities
  5. Kayin 746 events · 465 fatalities
  6. Tanintharyi 692 events · 715 fatalities
  7. Kachin 655 events · 834 fatalities
  8. Chin 508 events · 650 fatalities
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026 Last 12 months, political violence events.

Sources and further reading

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