World Conflicts
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Central African Republic conflict

Active Medium intensity Internationalized intrastate Africa 10 Dec 2012 to present

Government forces, supported by Russian personnel and the UN mission MINUSCA, face armed groups across the country. A 2025 deal led the UPC and 3R groups to dissolve and begin disarming, and President Touadera won a third term in December 2025. Violence persists, including cross-border attacks from Sudan such as the June 2026 raid on Am-Dafock.

Conflict zones

Click a shape for details and sources

Zones, lines of contact and strike arcs are approximate and illustrative, drawn from public reporting. They are not authoritative; click a shape for its sources. Borders from Natural Earth, with Crimea shown as part of Ukraine in line with UN General Assembly resolution 68/262.

Key facts

CAR refugees in Cameroon
283,208
UNHCR Operational Data Portal as of 31 Aug 2026
CAR refugees in DR Congo
268,203
UNHCR Operational Data Portal as of 31 Aug 2026
Touadera vote share, Dec 2025 election
77.9%
International IDEA Democracy Tracker as of 19 Jan 2026
UPC/3R peace agreement signed
19 Apr 2025 (N'Djamena)
African Union Commission as of 18 Jul 2025
Reported fatalities, last 4 weeks (ACLED)
13
ACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026
Deaths in 2026, 1 Jan to 22 Sep 2026 (UCDP)
166 best estimate (166–192)
UCDP GED Candidate 26.0.9 as of 22 Sep 2026

Human cost

Fatalities
269
  • 269 estimatedarmedconflicts.org (UCDP data) as of 31 Aug 2026Organized-violence deaths, 12 months to Aug 2026, UCDP low estimate (high estimate 297); 86 civilians
Killed in 2026 so far (UCDP)
166
People displaced
417K–741Krange across 2 sources
All forcibly displaced, country-wide (UNHCR)
1.2M
Recorded events, last 30 days
21

Parties and actors

  • Central African Armed Forces (FACA) State armed forces · aligned with Government
  • Russian military personnel (Wagner / Africa Corps) Foreign forces supporting government · aligned with Government
  • MINUSCA UN peacekeeping mission
  • Armed groups (e.g. CPC coalition remnants, FPRC, Azande Ani Kpi Gbe) Non-state armed groups

Parties are listed factually by name and role. Inclusion does not imply any judgement.

Negotiations

Negotiations hub
N'Djamena agreement with UPC and 3R Agreement
Parties
Government of CAR, UPC, 3R
Mediators
Chad (President Mahamat Idriss Deby)
Last development
10 Jul 2025

The two armed groups signed a peace deal in April 2025, announced their dissolution in Bangui in July 2025 and began disarmament and demobilization of fighters.

African Union Commission as of 18 Jul 2025

Trend: events and reported fatalities by month

Events per month Reported fatalities per month
0 0 25 125 50 250 75 375 100 500Nov 2021: 46 events, 366 reported fatalitiesDec 2021: 37 events, 90 reported fatalitiesJan 2022: 30 events, 158 reported fatalities2022Feb 2022: 17 events, 113 reported fatalitiesMar 2022: 28 events, 218 reported fatalitiesApr 2022: 26 events, 84 reported fatalitiesMay 2022: 26 events, 89 reported fatalitiesJun 2022: 24 events, 81 reported fatalitiesJul 2022: 16 events, 46 reported fatalitiesAug 2022: 8 events, 6 reported fatalitiesSep 2022: 13 events, 12 reported fatalitiesOct 2022: 31 events, 65 reported fatalitiesNov 2022: 24 events, 25 reported fatalitiesDec 2022: 35 events, 95 reported fatalitiesJan 2023: 32 events, 30 reported fatalities2023Feb 2023: 19 events, 51 reported fatalitiesMar 2023: 27 events, 44 reported fatalitiesApr 2023: 31 events, 34 reported fatalitiesMay 2023: 25 events, 57 reported fatalitiesJun 2023: 17 events, 82 reported fatalitiesJul 2023: 27 events, 56 reported fatalitiesAug 2023: 27 events, 31 reported fatalitiesSep 2023: 27 events, 29 reported fatalitiesOct 2023: 30 events, 81 reported fatalitiesNov 2023: 14 events, 8 reported fatalitiesDec 2023: 26 events, 110 reported fatalitiesJan 2024: 26 events, 42 reported fatalities2024Feb 2024: 34 events, 50 reported fatalitiesMar 2024: 30 events, 119 reported fatalitiesApr 2024: 23 events, 55 reported fatalitiesMay 2024: 21 events, 80 reported fatalitiesJun 2024: 46 events, 105 reported fatalitiesJul 2024: 34 events, 44 reported fatalitiesAug 2024: 30 events, 80 reported fatalitiesSep 2024: 23 events, 31 reported fatalitiesOct 2024: 34 events, 50 reported fatalitiesNov 2024: 39 events, 39 reported fatalitiesDec 2024: 30 events, 39 reported fatalitiesJan 2025: 63 events, 109 reported fatalities2025Feb 2025: 61 events, 298 reported fatalitiesMar 2025: 53 events, 57 reported fatalitiesApr 2025: 46 events, 54 reported fatalitiesMay 2025: 65 events, 84 reported fatalitiesJun 2025: 61 events, 161 reported fatalitiesJul 2025: 67 events, 72 reported fatalitiesAug 2025: 70 events, 101 reported fatalitiesSep 2025: 43 events, 78 reported fatalitiesOct 2025: 28 events, 40 reported fatalitiesNov 2025: 47 events, 89 reported fatalitiesDec 2025: 65 events, 125 reported fatalitiesJan 2026: 63 events, 90 reported fatalities2026Feb 2026: 49 events, 31 reported fatalitiesMar 2026: 62 events, 77 reported fatalitiesApr 2026: 39 events, 57 reported fatalitiesMay 2026: 45 events, 50 reported fatalitiesJun 2026: 28 events, 41 reported fatalitiesJul 2026: 30 events, 19 reported fatalitiesAug 2026: 60 events, 49 reported fatalitiesSep 2026: 34 events, 29 reported fatalitiesOct 2026: 21 events, 13 reported fatalities
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026 Political violence events only (battles, explosions/remote violence, violence against civilians).
Show data table
MonthEventsFatalities
Oct 20262113
Sep 20263429
Aug 20266049
Jul 20263019
Jun 20262841
May 20264550
Apr 20263957
Mar 20266277
Feb 20264931
Jan 20266390
Dec 202565125
Nov 20254789
Oct 20252840
Sep 20254378
Aug 202570101
Jul 20256772
Jun 202561161
May 20256584
Apr 20254654
Mar 20255357
Feb 202561298
Jan 202563109
Dec 20243039
Nov 20243939
Oct 20243450
Sep 20242331
Aug 20243080
Jul 20243444
Jun 202446105
May 20242180
Apr 20242355
Mar 202430119
Feb 20243450
Jan 20242642
Dec 202326110
Nov 2023148
Oct 20233081
Sep 20232729
Aug 20232731
Jul 20232756
Jun 20231782
May 20232557
Apr 20233134
Mar 20232744
Feb 20231951
Jan 20233230
Dec 20223595
Nov 20222425
Oct 20223165
Sep 20221312
Aug 202286
Jul 20221646
Jun 20222481
May 20222689
Apr 20222684
Mar 202228218
Feb 202217113
Jan 202230158
Dec 20213790
Nov 202146366

Events by type

Battles Explosions / remote violence Violence against civilians
0 25 50 75 100 20222023202420252026
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026

Most affected provinces

  1. Haut-Mbomou 127 events · 92 fatalities
  2. Vakaga 82 events · 215 fatalities
  3. Ouham 81 events · 128 fatalities
  4. Nana-Mambere 45 events · 44 fatalities
  5. Ombella-M'Poko 40 events · 28 fatalities
  6. Bangui 34 events · 26 fatalities
  7. Ouham-Pende 31 events · 10 fatalities
  8. Haute-Kotto 30 events · 58 fatalities
reportedACLED aggregated data, up to week of 24 Oct 2026 as of 24 Oct 2026 Last 12 months, political violence events.

Sources and further reading

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